Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.025103 3.581017 4.238996 5.083195 6.149123 7.465958 9.240595e+00
2024-10-20 2.271353 2.964874 3.896860 5.275078 7.322693 10.358458 1.541833e+01
2024-10-27 1.826778 2.524843 3.536983 5.172990 7.878687 12.435523 2.134640e+01
2024-11-03 1.654467 2.404227 3.567518 5.608598 9.349745 16.512368 3.313548e+01
2024-11-10 1.477737 2.232431 3.467416 5.782984 10.409071 20.318840 4.730407e+01
2024-11-17 1.358559 2.125451 3.442854 6.071120 11.776971 25.461529 6.968320e+01
2024-11-24 1.215844 1.953053 3.267259 6.019046 12.404239 29.227080 9.247338e+01
2024-12-01 1.115053 1.836793 3.170108 6.097391 13.359388 34.457206 1.282050e+02
2024-12-08 1.025434 1.726903 3.064328 6.128729 14.214480 40.005229 1.758524e+02
2024-12-15 0.972984 1.678030 3.069161 6.410606 15.864809 49.517138 2.691983e+02
2024-12-22 0.890771 1.561237 2.915494 6.276618 16.269114 54.821257 3.528726e+02
2024-12-29 0.831491 1.482219 2.829522 6.292525 17.158610 63.055609 4.980432e+02
2025-01-05 0.754110 1.367824 2.671360 6.146916 17.699378 71.637086 7.243368e+02
2025-01-12 0.708844 1.315780 2.649848 6.389093 19.861472 92.690796 1.409013e+03
2025-01-19 0.647786 1.221504 2.512546 6.259475 20.560391 106.837327 2.303571e+03
2025-01-26 0.630625 1.219021 2.593526 6.814054 24.544138 154.273821 6.950038e+03
2025-02-02 0.598140 1.177845 2.570726 7.036844 27.279577 201.613417 2.013064e+04
2025-02-09 0.574815 1.154149 2.588257 7.405894 31.160543 279.185325 1.006663e+05
2025-02-16 0.536817 1.091422 2.491072 7.339112 32.639959 335.810749 4.625631e+05
2025-02-23 0.508726 1.048912 2.442159 7.439600 35.306572 430.990576 1.074340e+07
2025-03-02 0.481329 1.004892 2.381839 7.479818 37.710617 545.066967 NaN
2025-03-09 0.465974 0.988679 2.398702 7.842169 42.927879 794.034223 NaN
2025-03-16 0.436885 0.934830 2.296111 7.669797 43.915818 938.109384 NaN